Omdia Display Forecast Predicts Massive Shift Toward Mini LED and RGB LED Architectures as Premium OLED TV Shipments Reach Plateau Through 2030
An industry wide display forecast paints a picture of a massive shift in the premium TV space, with the long term volume in organic light emitting diode or OLED set to plateau. A report from research shop Omdia suggests total worldwide shipments of OLED TV flat at around 6.9 million a year between 2026 and 2030. Meanwhile, fast growing sales are expected for showpieces that use liquid crystal display panels paired with revamped backlighting systems Mini LED and RGB LED architectures.
While both the Mini LED and the RGB LED television have liquid crystal display (LCD) panels with the same color filtering, their methods of backlighting are very different. The standard Mini LED television has LED backlighting that is white in color. The RGB LED television has a red, green, and blue LED backlight.
The structure of the backlighting gives the RGB LED television a broader color spectrum.
The RGB light source produces the native wavelengths of the three primary colors, so the lighting that passes through the color filtering does so with a high degree of color purity. The conventional LED backlight produces light via blue LEDs with yellow phosphor.
Omdia predicts these advancements in throughput and power efficiency, Mini LED TVs will increase shipments from below 18M in 2026 to 30M in 2030. Shipments of the similar (cost wise) RGB LED models will surge even quicker in percentage terms up from 1.1M in 2026 to 7.1M in 2030. However, growing demand for these new display types will still see shipments of conventional LED Backlit TVs fall by 7% in this period.
The shift in shipment volume will inevitably have a direct effect on the revenue share between the various display types on the market. Omdia expects the revenue share of OLED models on the global market to decline from the low 10% range in 2026 to 9% in 2030, while that of Mini LED models will increase from the mid 10% range to reach 24% by 2030 and RGB LED models will claim 13% of the total revenue, compared to 3% in 2026. This change in financial allocations indicates the rising commercial relevance of high performance liquid crystal displays.
All of the more advanced LED architectures are being driven into the ultra large screen market, of which the growth is clearly in the hands of the RGB LED. According to Omdia 18% of all RGB LED TVs shipped by 2030 (1,200,000) will be of a size 85'' or greater. The largest portion of the 2030 Mini LED TVs (24%) (7,100,000) will be in this 85'' or greater screen size category. Scaling of OLED is structurally limited in this large format market with a significantly lower percentage of volume, 0.2%(1,066) migrating into this size range by 2030.
Consumption patterns of each display type are different according to the region. North America is believed to have the largest consumption of RGB LED TVs in 2030, 2,000,000 units, coming next to Western Europe, 1,600,000 units and China, 1,500,000 units. Meanwhile, China is believed to be the largest consume for Mini LED TV, 10,400,000 units, then North America, 7,100,000 units and Western Europe, 3,900,000 units. Capacities of OLED TV in Western Europe is expected to be the largest in the world followed by North America.
According to Omdia analysts, Mini LED and RGB LED products are expected to be the primary growth engines for TV manufacturers through 2030, as he German majors will be able to achieve high contrast, local dimming, deep black levels, without the high manufacturing lift from self emissive technologies such as Micro LED and OLED. Furthermore, the higher maximum brightness of Mini LEDs means that they will be highly competitive for daytime viewing in bright rooms, while the industry is pivoting toward native RGB LED backlights, removing the quantum dot sheet laminate over blue LEDs. This is a major opportunity for panel makers to increase yields and for TV brands to serve the bright, large, high value premium mass market.
